AI × Semi Thesis
AI × SEMI · NEWS SIGNAL

Chip News Signals

How chip news actually moves stocks — measured in α, not raw %.

LIVEAuto-tracking chip news· Last event May 4, 2026
Events tracked
10
Avg |α| · HIGH signals
3.52%
Largest single-event α
-9.14%
SKHX
Category
Signal strength
Tickers

Watching now

Events on the radar. They auto-drop into the timeline with α attached once they hit.

TrackingExpected 2026 Q2 ~ Q3
SMSN
SKHX
Samsung HBM4 Nvidia qualification final confirmation
A pass would mark positive α for Samsung and compress SK Hynix's monopoly premium.
TrackingExpected Late July 2026
SKHX
SMSN
MU
SK Hynix Q2 2026 earnings — HBM margin & price guidance
HBM price trajectory and Q3 guidance will likely set the broader SOX tone.
TrackingExpected June 2026
MU
SKHX
SMSN
Micron Q3 FY26 earnings — HBM TAM & guidance update
TAM upgrades or stronger guidance would re-anchor the HBM super-cycle thesis.
May 4, 2026Analyst action
HIGH

SK Hynix — analyst price targets raised across the board

Major analysts raised SK Hynix price targets in succession on extended HBM super-cycle conviction, producing a strong alpha response.

SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α +7.40%
raw +12.52%
Day 3α +17.48%
raw +31.10%
ENEN media · Source link pending
Mar 17, 2026Conference
LOW

GTC: SK chairman warns "HBM shortage through 2030"

At Nvidia GTC, the SK chairman said HBM supply shortage would last through 2030, but the message was largely already priced in.

SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α -2.04%
raw -0.41%
Day 3α -0.78%
raw +3.39%
SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +1.12%
raw +2.76%
Day 3α +1.50%
raw +5.67%
MU
MU
Coming soon
Day 1α +2.87%
raw +4.50%
Day 3α -8.45%
raw -4.28%
ENEN media · Source link pending
Jan 29, 2026Qualification
LOW

Bloomberg: Samsung HBM4 qualification in final stage (follow-up)

Following the Reuters report on 1/26, Bloomberg reported Samsung's HBM4 qualification was in its final stage, but the market reaction was muted.

SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α -2.02%
raw -1.05%
Day 3α +0.87%
raw +3.14%
SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α +1.40%
raw +2.38%
Day 3α +5.58%
raw +7.85%
MU
MU
Coming soon
Day 1α -0.86%
raw +0.12%
Day 3α -5.91%
raw -3.64%
NVDA
NVDA
Coming soon
Day 1α -0.46%
raw +0.52%
Day 3α -8.11%
raw -5.84%
ENEN media · Source link pending
Jan 26, 2026Qualification
HIGH

Reuters: Samsung passes Nvidia HBM4 qualification (first report)

Reuters first reported Samsung had passed Nvidia HBM4 qualification, raising concern about SK Hynix's monopoly premium compressing.

SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +0.81%
raw 0.00%
Day 3α +1.02%
raw +5.65%
SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α -3.23%
raw -4.04%
Day 3α +7.62%
raw +12.26%
MU
MU
Coming soon
Day 1α -1.83%
raw -2.64%
Day 3α +4.41%
raw +9.04%
NVDA
NVDA
Coming soon
Day 1α +0.17%
raw -0.64%
Day 3α -2.05%
raw +2.58%
ENEN media · Source link pending
Dec 26, 2025Mass production
HIGH

Samsung formally announces HBM4 mass-production plan for Nvidia

Samsung formalized its HBM4 mass-production timeline for Nvidia, signaling a potential end to SK Hynix's sole-supplier position.

SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +4.80%
raw +5.31%
Day 3α +10.77%
raw +15.66%
SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α +1.36%
raw +1.87%
Day 3α +10.24%
raw +15.14%
IRCompany IR · Source link pending
Dec 22, 2025Qualification
MEDIUM

Korea Herald: Samsung HBM4 testing favorably with Nvidia

Korea Herald reported Samsung's HBM4 Nvidia testing was progressing favorably, lifting both Korean memory names together.

SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +1.83%
raw +3.95%
Day 3α +7.35%
raw +10.07%
SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α +3.91%
raw +6.03%
Day 3α +6.79%
raw +9.51%
KRKR media · Source link pending
Dec 17, 2025Earnings
HIGH

Micron Q1 FY26 earnings — guides HBM TAM to $100B by 2028

Micron reported Q1 FY26 results and projected the HBM market to reach $100B by 2028, reinforcing the HBM super-cycle narrative.

MU
MU
Coming soon
Day 1α -1.85%
raw -3.01%
Day 3α +17.81%
raw +18.96%
IRCompany IR · Source link pending
Sep 22, 2025Qualification
HIGH

Samsung HBM3E 12-high passes Nvidia qualification

After a long delay, Samsung was reported to have passed Nvidia qualification for HBM3E 12-high, raising hopes of a reshuffled HBM competitive landscape.

SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +3.31%
raw +3.99%
Day 3α +6.47%
raw +7.22%
ENEN media · Source link pending
Sep 12, 2025Mass production
HIGH

SK Hynix announces HBM4 mass-production readiness

SK Hynix announced completion of the world-first HBM4 mass-production system, cementing its lead in the next AI memory cycle.

SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α +5.47%
raw +7.00%
Day 3α +6.56%
raw +8.63%
IRCompany IR · Source link pending
Jul 17, 2025Analyst action
HIGH

Goldman Sachs warns HBM price erosion, downgrades SK Hynix

Goldman Sachs downgraded SK Hynix citing HBM price erosion, while taking a more constructive stance on Samsung.

SKHX
SKHX
Coming soon
Day 1α -9.14%
raw -8.95%
Day 3α -8.77%
raw -9.29%
SMSN
SMSN
Coming soon
Day 1α +2.91%
raw +3.09%
Day 3α +2.53%
raw +2.01%
ENEN media · Source link pending